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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+7.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.75+4.89vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+7.59vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+6.86vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+4.55vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+4.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-1.92vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+1.59vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.78+1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+0.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.71-4.69vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-3.95vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.82-2.94vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51+1.28vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.26-2.37vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.19-7.66vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.79-6.62vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.31-5.57vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island2.76-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.59Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.51Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.34George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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16.28University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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13.63Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.38Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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13.43Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Augie Dale | 10.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Sam White | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Shane Riera | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 41.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| Brendan Read | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.