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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+8.57vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.78vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+6.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+6.65vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.75+1.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.78+4.69vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79+3.11vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+2.06vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.26+3.73vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82+0.31vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.72vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-5.57vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-7.84vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51+1.30vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.92-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.76-5.68vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.19-8.50vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.31-5.59vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.89-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.42Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.69George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.11Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.73Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.31Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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16.3University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.41Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Long | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Shane Riera | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Augie Dale | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam White | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 41.6% |
| William Hawk | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.