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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+8.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.79+9.23vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+8.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+5.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82+6.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.69vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31+6.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-1.03vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+1.61vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.78+1.43vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26+2.69vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-3.10vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-1.46vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.75-7.09vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.89-4.16vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-5.55vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-5.44vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-1.50vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College3.19-9.63vs Predicted
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20Yale University3.93-13.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.23Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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13.82Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.43George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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13.69Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.54Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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16.5University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McCarthy | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Long | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Sam White | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Augie Dale | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Shane Riera | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 41.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.