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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+7.45vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.78+8.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+6.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+2.11vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+5.02vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.75-1.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+2.08vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.17-0.45vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-0.49vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-3.07vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-2.56vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.79-3.76vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-4.84vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-3.66vs Predicted
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18Hampton University2.26-4.20vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.89-8.28vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.51-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.49George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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10.51Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.24Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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11.16Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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13.34Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.8Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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16.54University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sam White | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Shane Riera | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Augie Dale | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Long | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Read | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.