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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+12.52vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+9.76vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+7.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.75+2.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+6.62vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+4.78vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17+1.32vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-2.90vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97+0.44vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31+2.47vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-1.13vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-1.50vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.31vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.19-6.64vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-9.99vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-1.50vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.78-7.77vs Predicted
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20Tufts University2.82-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.52Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.76Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.32Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.44Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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13.47Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.87Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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16.5University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% |
| Franco Bilik | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Augie Dale | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shane Riera | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Read | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Long | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 40.7% |
| Sam White | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.