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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+8.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.23vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+4.28vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+6.76vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+8.60vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.82+2.92vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.17+0.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+1.75vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.75-3.97vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-0.63vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.51+3.68vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-3.45vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.78-3.69vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-5.64vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.35-8.46vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-4.45vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.76-7.62vs Predicted
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20Brown University2.69-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.23Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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13.6Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.37Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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16.68University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.31George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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10.36Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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13.55Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.9Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Long | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Shane Riera | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Augie Dale | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 44.3% |
| William Hawk | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Sam White | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.