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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+12.51vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+8.39vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+7.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+7.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+5.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-0.54vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-1.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+2.13vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.31+3.50vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.78+0.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.51+3.69vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.19-4.68vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-3.91vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.38vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.75-10.20vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.17-8.38vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.92-8.38vs Predicted
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20Boston College3.35-11.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.51Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.39Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.85Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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6.46Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.5Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.39George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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16.69University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.8College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Franco Bilik | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% |
| Sam White | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Shane Riera | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 42.9% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Trevor Long | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Augie Dale | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| William Hawk | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.