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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+6.09vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69+7.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+5.30vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.84+4.67vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+4.72vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.31+5.47vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.53+7.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.16-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49+1.38vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.33-3.46vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.17-3.60vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-2.31vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.25-6.24vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-4.31vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.22vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.90-3.16vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.35vs Predicted
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19University of Washington2.13-2.45vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.61-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.3College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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10.72Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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15.22Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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11.38University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.54Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.76Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.78SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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13.84Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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16.55University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| David Hernandez | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 22.8% |
| Martin Sterling | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| William Brown | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 39.9% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.