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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+7.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+7.40vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.15vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+3.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09+2.55vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.97+5.89vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97+1.70vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99+0.54vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-1.43vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22+0.94vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+0.78vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.30-8.89vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-1.79vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.10-4.96vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-5.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-7.47vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.10-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Yale University2.4213.8%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy2.043.9%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University2.206.7%1st Place
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8.55Boston College2.095.4%1st Place
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12.89Old Dominion University0.971.8%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University1.974.2%1st Place
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9.54Brown University1.994.5%1st Place
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8.57Tulane University2.025.5%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University1.221.8%1st Place
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12.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.9%1st Place
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4.11Stanford University3.3020.7%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University1.152.1%1st Place
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10.04Dartmouth College2.103.9%1st Place
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10.03College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.773.4%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.102.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 20.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 19.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.7% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% |
| Sarah Young | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.