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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+7.54vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+11.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+8.86vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.82+7.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82+6.03vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+2.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71+0.43vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.75-1.26vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97+1.34vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-1.47vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31+1.68vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.93-6.50vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-2.64vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.92-4.31vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-4.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-5.51vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.89-7.03vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.51-2.66vs Predicted
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20Stanford University3.17-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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13.64Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.86Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.16Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.34Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.53Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.68Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.3George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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16.34University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Augie Dale | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Sam White | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Shane Riera | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 39.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.