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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+6.10vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+11.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+4.00vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.94+6.53vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.82+6.10vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.51+10.50vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31+6.77vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.59vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.78+1.32vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.82+0.26vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-1.25vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-1.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-2.36vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.93-8.72vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.76-4.59vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.19-7.74vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.69-6.16vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.17-9.56vs Predicted
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20Boston College3.35-11.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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13.62Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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11.1Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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16.5University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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13.77Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.32George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.75Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.2Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.84Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% |
| Augie Dale | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 41.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sam White | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Shane Riera | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Franco Bilik | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.