← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.18+2.49vs Predicted
-
2Hamilton College-1.17+6.56vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute0.81+1.33vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University1.45-0.98vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49+2.08vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-0.17-1.55vs Predicted
-
9University of Toronto0.44-4.14vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute-0.92-2.07vs Predicted
-
11University of Toronto-0.30-4.23vs Predicted
-
12University of Toronto0.44-7.14vs Predicted
-
13McGill University0.41-8.09vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-1.27-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
-
8.56Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
-
4.33Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
-
3.02Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
-
7.08Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.45Rutgers University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
4.86University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
-
7.93Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.77University of Toronto-0.300.0%1st Place
-
4.86University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
-
4.91McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
-
8.6Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 18.4% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 25.1% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.