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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.45+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Toronto-0.30+4.66vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.18+0.58vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49+2.27vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.81-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto0.44-1.95vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-1.17+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto0.44-3.95vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.41-5.06vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.92-2.91vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-0.17-6.72vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.27-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
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6.66University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.58Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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7.27Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.2Webb Institute0.810.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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8.36Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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4.94McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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8.09Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.28Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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8.61Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bruce | 25.6% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 18.3% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 15.1% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.