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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.18+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Toronto0.44+3.07vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.41+2.34vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.45-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto0.44-0.93vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.81-2.73vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.30-1.11vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-2.84vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.17-5.56vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.27-4.07vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.92-5.85vs Predicted
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15Hamilton College-0.50-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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5.34McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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3.07Queen's University1.450.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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4.27Webb Institute0.810.2%1st Place
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6.89University of Toronto-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.44Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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8.93Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.15Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.15Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 18.6% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 24.8% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.