← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.45+1.99vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University1.18+1.48vs Predicted
-
3University of Toronto0.44+2.27vs Predicted
-
6University of Toronto0.44-0.73vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute0.81-2.62vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-0.17-1.45vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-1.69vs Predicted
-
10University of Toronto-0.30-3.34vs Predicted
-
12Hamilton College-0.50-4.80vs Predicted
-
14McGill University0.41-8.76vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-1.27-6.16vs Predicted
-
17Webb Institute-0.92-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.99Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
-
3.48Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
-
5.27University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
-
5.27University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
-
4.38Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
-
6.55Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
7.31Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
-
7.2Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
-
5.24McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
-
8.84Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.07Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bruce | 25.7% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 21.2% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 38.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.