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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.41+4.28vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18+1.48vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.81+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Toronto0.44+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto0.44+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-0.30+0.83vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.45-3.97vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-2.90vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.92-2.87vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.27-3.04vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.17-7.60vs Predicted
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16Hamilton College-0.50-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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3.48Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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4.43Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.03Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
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7.1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.13Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.96Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.4Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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7.12Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Drezner | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 21.3% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 25.8% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 19.4% | 39.9% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.