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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto0.44+4.06vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.45+0.89vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.41+2.23vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.17+2.53vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.18-3.59vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-1.17+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto0.44-3.94vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.92-2.12vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-4.02vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute0.81-8.75vs Predicted
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16University of Toronto-0.30-9.40vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.27-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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2.89Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
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5.23McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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6.53Rutgers University-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.41Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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8.58Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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7.88Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.98Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.25Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.6Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linor Rezin | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 27.6% | 23.4% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 21.3% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 13.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.