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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Webb Institute0.81+2.26vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.41+2.02vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.17+2.57vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.18-1.44vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.17+2.48vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto0.44-1.94vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-0.30-4.43vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.27-3.23vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.92-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Toronto0.44-10.94vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.45-14.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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5.02McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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6.57Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.56Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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8.48Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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6.93Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.77Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.94Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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2.84Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hunt | 11.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 19.0% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 29.2% | 24.3% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.