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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.13vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+6.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+6.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.44vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.06vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81+3.95vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20+1.25vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+3.62vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.01vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97+2.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.44vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-3.43vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.15-0.94vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.97-4.10vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.10-4.56vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.42-10.82vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-4.15vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.10-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Stanford University3.3019.1%1st Place
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8.64Tulane University2.025.2%1st Place
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9.44Brown University1.994.3%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.1%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston1.815.2%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University2.206.3%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University1.222.6%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania1.775.7%1st Place
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12.8Old Dominion University0.972.2%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Naval Academy2.043.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College2.096.5%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.152.2%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University1.973.9%1st Place
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10.44Dartmouth College2.103.6%1st Place
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5.18Yale University2.4213.8%1st Place
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12.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.9%1st Place
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11.12Harvard University2.102.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.1% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 18.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Young | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.