Race 1A

sound-invitational-ss-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Denney 10.4% 10.9% 12.3% 13.8% 14.0% 13.7% 11.5% 8.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 23.9% 22.0% 17.4% 13.0% 10.7% 7.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 19.6% 16.7% 16.8% 13.5% 13.5% 10.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 9.5% 12.1% 12.6% 13.6% 12.3% 13.5% 13.0% 7.3% 4.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 7.9% 8.1% 10.6% 12.4% 12.7% 13.6% 13.1% 10.2% 8.0% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Helen Lord 16.5% 15.7% 15.0% 15.7% 11.6% 10.5% 8.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Young 3.5% 4.6% 3.7% 4.6% 7.6% 8.8% 12.1% 17.7% 17.2% 14.0% 5.6% 0.6%
Zachary O'Brien 4.6% 6.7% 5.1% 6.9% 9.2% 10.5% 14.1% 16.3% 16.3% 7.6% 2.6% 0.1%
Nace Cohen 1.6% 0.9% 2.5% 2.4% 3.7% 5.9% 8.7% 13.1% 19.9% 29.0% 11.0% 1.3%
Zachary Foreman 1.7% 1.7% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 8.1% 12.5% 21.1% 27.0% 11.8% 1.9%
Marco Catipovic 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 2.6% 3.6% 8.4% 34.5% 47.5%
Korey Charles 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 1.5% 2.8% 3.1% 8.2% 33.5% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.