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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University-0.17+5.64vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-0.50+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of Toronto0.44+2.24vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.18-2.38vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.45-3.99vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.92+0.24vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute0.81-4.89vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.41-5.98vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.30-6.06vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto0.44-9.76vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.27-7.19vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-9.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Rutgers University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.32Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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3.62Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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3.01Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
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8.24Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.11Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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5.02McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Toronto-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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8.81Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.07Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgard Sanchez | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 17.9% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 27.9% | 22.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.