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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.81+3.29vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-0.50+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of Toronto0.44+2.25vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.18-0.39vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.45-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto0.44-2.75vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.92-0.72vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.41-5.99vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.30-6.30vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-6.63vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.27-6.17vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-0.17-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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7.31Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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3.61Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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2.97Queen's University1.450.3%1st Place
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5.25University of Toronto0.440.1%1st Place
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8.28Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.01McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.37Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.83Penn State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.39Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hunt | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 18.3% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 28.0% | 22.6% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Linor Rezin | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ugoletti | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.