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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+1.07vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.55+0.12vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.36+1.08vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.56-2.87vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-1.70vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.15-3.50vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-1.70-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.62-6.51vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.72-7.20vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-0.72-8.20vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.17-11.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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4.12McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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6.08Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.13Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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6.3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.5Webb Institute-0.150.1%1st Place
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8.62Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.89Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 46.2% | 26.2% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 10.0% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.