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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+1.06vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.55+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto-0.72+1.90vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.36+0.03vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-2.16vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.62-1.48vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.56-4.96vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.15-4.48vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.70-3.47vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-6.59vs Predicted
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16University of Toronto-0.72-9.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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4.15McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.03Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.84Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.04Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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5.52Webb Institute-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.53Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.41Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 48.1% | 23.4% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 11.6% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 11.0% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 4.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 52.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.