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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.55+2.64vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.89-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Toronto-0.72+2.11vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.36-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-0.62-1.32vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.17-3.74vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.70-4.34vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.15-8.06vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.72-7.89vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-10.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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1.9Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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6.11University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.18Webb Institute-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.26Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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7.66Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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4.94Webb Institute-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wittmann | 13.8% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 49.2% | 27.5% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 53.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.