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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto-0.72+5.38vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.17+1.55vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.36+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.62-1.81vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.70-0.83vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.15-4.85vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College-1.10-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.72-5.62vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-7.06vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.55-11.22vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.89-14.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.55Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.72Webb Institute-0.360.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.17Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.15Webb Institute-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.24Hamilton College-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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3.78McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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1.89Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Filewood | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 2.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Keefe | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 13.4% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 50.7% | 27.1% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.