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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Queen's University1.89-0.13vs Predicted
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3University of Toronto-0.72+3.46vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.55-1.19vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.15-0.84vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-2.54vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-3.04vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.36-4.39vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-0.62-4.82vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.72-6.54vs Predicted
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14Hamilton College-1.10-6.81vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.70-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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6.46University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.81McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.16Webb Institute-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.46Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.61Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.19Hamilton College-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.29Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 51.7% | 26.0% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 12.8% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 4.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 4.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Keefe | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.