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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.92vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-0.54+4.21vs Predicted
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3University of Toronto-0.72+3.63vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto-0.62+1.35vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.55-2.18vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.15-1.73vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.17-3.40vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-0.72-4.37vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.36-7.31vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-7.86vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.70-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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6.21Hamilton College-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.82McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.27Webb Institute-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.6Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.69Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.38Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 50.3% | 25.5% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Moubarak | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 14.1% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 4.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 49.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.