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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.93vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.17+1.61vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.54+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-0.72+0.55vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.55-3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto-0.72-2.45vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.15-4.77vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-4.82vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.36-6.30vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.70-5.62vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-0.62-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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4.61Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.27Hamilton College-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.79McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.23Webb Institute-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.7Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.38Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 50.3% | 25.3% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Moubarak | 3.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 13.8% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 3.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.