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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+9.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+7.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.04vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+0.24vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+3.42vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09+2.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.45vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.99vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.02-0.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.15+1.17vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-5.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.97-3.37vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-3.58vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-3.97vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.22-4.25vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-4.10vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.97-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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9.61Brown University1.994.3%1st Place
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5.04Yale University2.4215.2%1st Place
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4.24Stanford University3.3018.6%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University2.206.5%1st Place
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8.57Boston College2.095.1%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy2.043.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
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8.71Tulane University2.025.2%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.2%1st Place
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12.17Tufts University1.152.9%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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9.63Roger Williams University1.974.1%1st Place
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10.42Dartmouth College2.103.3%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
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11.75Northeastern University1.222.0%1st Place
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12.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.5%1st Place
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12.78Old Dominion University0.972.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 18.6% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.3% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Young | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 19.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.