← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.89+1.05vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University0.17+2.92vs Predicted
-
4University of Toronto-0.72+2.87vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.55-0.87vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute-0.36-2.07vs Predicted
-
9Hamilton College0.56-4.92vs Predicted
-
10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-3.59vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute-0.15-5.47vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University-1.70-5.47vs Predicted
-
15University of Toronto-0.62-8.44vs Predicted
-
16University of Toronto-0.72-9.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.05Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
-
4.92Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
-
6.87University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.13McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
-
5.93Webb Institute-0.360.1%1st Place
-
4.08Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
-
6.41Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
-
5.53Webb Institute-0.150.1%1st Place
-
8.53Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
-
6.56University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 46.5% | 25.5% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 10.0% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 12.9% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 52.6% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 2.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.