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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2McGill University0.55+2.10vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.17+1.95vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.89-1.95vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.36+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-0.72-0.28vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.56-4.97vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-3.57vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.15-5.43vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.62-5.39vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.70-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of Toronto-0.72-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.95Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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2.05Queen's University1.890.4%1st Place
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6.02Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.03Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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6.43Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.57Webb Institute-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Toronto-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.53Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Toronto-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wittmann | 12.7% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bugeja | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 42.8% | 28.1% | 16.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 14.1% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 4.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Dariush Solhdoost | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Annelies McCann | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 52.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Filewood | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.