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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+2.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.25+2.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.76-0.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03-1.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91-1.67vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-1.54+1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.29-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.97-3.76vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.34-4.57vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.32-5.39vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-1.57-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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4.59Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University2.760.2%1st Place
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3.07Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.1%1st Place
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10.87Amherst College-1.540.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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8.43Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.61Yale University0.320.0%1st Place
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11.05Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Lord | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 18.7% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 24.4% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Chronert | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Korey Charles | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 10.1% | 34.6% | 44.0% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Douglas Young | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Foreman | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 27.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Nace Cohen | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 21.6% | 27.6% | 13.7% | 2.7% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 33.2% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.