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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+7.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+9.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+6.36vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-0.97vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81+3.07vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.41vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10+2.07vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97+2.66vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-1.42vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-3.51vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.02-4.20vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.38-6.78vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-2.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.46vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-5.33vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.99-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Stanford University3.3018.6%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.5%1st Place
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12.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.8%1st Place
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10.36Dartmouth College2.104.2%1st Place
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9.11University of Pennsylvania1.774.5%1st Place
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5.03Yale University2.4214.8%1st Place
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10.07College of Charleston1.814.2%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
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11.07Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
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12.66Old Dominion University0.971.9%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University1.974.3%1st Place
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8.49Boston College2.095.9%1st Place
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8.8Tulane University2.025.9%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
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12.17Tufts University1.152.4%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Naval Academy2.043.4%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
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9.4Brown University1.994.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 18.6% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 20.8% |
| Sarah Young | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.