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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Helen Lord 15.6% 16.6% 13.7% 15.0% 14.0% 11.4% 8.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Denney 10.3% 12.1% 13.6% 13.7% 13.3% 13.9% 11.8% 6.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 18.7% 17.2% 17.6% 14.4% 11.8% 11.3% 5.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 24.4% 22.9% 16.8% 13.3% 10.5% 7.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 11.1% 10.6% 12.6% 12.4% 14.6% 12.2% 11.1% 8.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 8.2% 8.5% 9.8% 11.4% 12.2% 13.0% 15.5% 10.7% 7.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Korey Charles 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 2.6% 3.8% 10.1% 34.6% 44.0%
Zachary O'Brien 5.3% 3.9% 6.2% 7.8% 8.5% 10.9% 14.7% 18.2% 13.7% 7.8% 2.9% 0.1%
Douglas Young 2.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.2% 7.5% 9.8% 12.7% 19.5% 18.6% 13.4% 3.0% 0.5%
Zachary Foreman 1.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 3.2% 4.2% 8.1% 13.2% 19.1% 27.7% 11.2% 3.2%
Nace Cohen 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 6.8% 11.8% 21.6% 27.6% 13.7% 2.7%
Marco Catipovic 0.3% 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 3.6% 7.9% 33.2% 49.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.