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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cecilia Strombeck 23.1% 21.3% 19.6% 12.9% 10.0% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 17.5% 19.9% 15.7% 14.7% 12.7% 8.7% 6.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 6.0% 3.6% 5.6% 6.4% 8.4% 10.0% 15.6% 16.3% 16.7% 9.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Helen Lord 15.8% 15.1% 16.1% 13.1% 15.1% 11.1% 7.0% 4.8% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Denney 10.5% 11.7% 12.2% 15.2% 14.2% 13.8% 10.0% 7.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
William Simon 10.2% 12.2% 10.1% 14.2% 13.2% 14.3% 11.0% 9.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Young 3.3% 4.8% 3.6% 5.6% 6.5% 8.9% 12.8% 17.4% 17.1% 13.8% 5.5% 0.7%
Thomas Chronert 10.0% 7.2% 11.5% 10.7% 12.3% 14.3% 13.3% 11.7% 5.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Nace Cohen 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 10.6% 13.1% 19.8% 28.3% 11.4% 1.3%
Zachary Foreman 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 4.0% 3.3% 5.4% 7.2% 12.5% 21.7% 26.4% 11.6% 2.0%
Korey Charles 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 4.8% 8.1% 36.0% 45.9%
Marco Catipovic 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 3.9% 8.0% 32.6% 49.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.