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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+2.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.76+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.29+3.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.60-0.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.25-1.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.97-1.78vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91-4.79vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.32-3.54vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.34-5.61vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-1.54-4.00vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-1.57-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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3.93Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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4.62Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University0.320.0%1st Place
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8.39Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.0Amherst College-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.05Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Strombeck | 23.1% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 17.5% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Helen Lord | 15.8% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Chronert | 10.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nace Cohen | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 28.3% | 11.4% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Foreman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 26.4% | 11.6% | 2.0% |
| Korey Charles | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 36.0% | 45.9% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 32.6% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.