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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+8.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.29vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.10vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+3.34vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+2.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10+0.37vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.97+1.77vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-0.95vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.09-4.45vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.99-4.59vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-3.32vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.97-6.41vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-4.10vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.15-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Stanford University3.3019.9%1st Place
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10.0College of Charleston1.814.3%1st Place
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5.29Yale University2.4212.7%1st Place
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7.1Cornell University2.387.3%1st Place
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8.34Tulane University2.026.6%1st Place
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8.39Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.043.3%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania1.774.9%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.6%1st Place
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10.37Dartmouth College2.103.8%1st Place
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12.77Old Dominion University0.972.2%1st Place
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11.05Harvard University2.102.8%1st Place
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8.55Boston College2.095.4%1st Place
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9.41Brown University1.995.2%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University1.222.2%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
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12.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.922.2%1st Place
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12.14Tufts University1.152.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.9% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Young | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 17.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 19.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.