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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.37+6.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+3.80vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.23+5.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.90+2.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+1.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.70+0.73vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.98+2.38vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.58+2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94+0.44vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-1.15vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy2.39-3.25vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-3.82vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-4.98vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.19-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24-2.90vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.67Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.75Maine Maritime Academy2.390.1%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.02Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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12.1University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Neal | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Colin Brego | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Charles Honke | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Cameron Loncoski | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Gregory Corsello | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Samuel Shea | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Jack Ryan | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 26.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 26.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.