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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.98+8.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+4.33vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.39+4.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+2.76vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.37+2.89vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.58+4.77vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.93-1.04vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.31-0.03vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-0.26vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.19+2.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-2.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.23-3.59vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.90-7.12vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.94-5.38vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Boston University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.76Maine Maritime Academy2.390.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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12.2Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.86University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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8.55Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Honke | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Loncoski | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Peter Neal | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
| Colin Brego | 12.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Corsello | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Jack Ryan | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 26.2% |
| Samuel Shea | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 23.9% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.