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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy2.39+6.64vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+6.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+5.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.93+1.97vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.70+1.68vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.98+3.40vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.23+0.29vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31-0.94vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+2.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.94-1.52vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-3.23vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.58-2.24vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.19-2.00vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.37-7.04vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.90-9.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Maine Maritime Academy2.390.1%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.97Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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12.03University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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12.0Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Loncoski | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Samuel Shea | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Colin Brego | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Andersen | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Charles Honke | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Gregory Corsello | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 24.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% |
| Jack Ryan | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 26.3% |
| Peter Neal | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.