Race 4A

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Samuel Shea 5.5% 7.1% 8.6% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 5.6% 6.6% 7.9% 7.1% 5.8% 7.6% 6.0% 5.7% 3.9% 2.4%
Peter Neal 6.2% 8.4% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 6.2% 7.7% 6.7% 6.8% 7.1% 6.8% 6.4% 5.4% 5.1% 4.5% 1.9%
Cameron Nash 5.7% 5.4% 6.5% 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 6.4% 6.6% 6.3% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 6.6% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5%
Sean Beaulieu 4.9% 6.3% 6.4% 6.2% 5.3% 5.8% 6.0% 5.6% 7.2% 7.5% 7.3% 8.0% 7.7% 5.7% 6.6% 3.5%
Stephen Duncan 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 11.0% 9.2% 8.3% 6.4% 7.3% 6.6% 6.4% 5.1% 5.1% 3.6% 2.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Gregory Corsello 5.5% 6.1% 6.4% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 6.9% 6.7% 5.6% 6.8% 6.2% 4.4% 3.8%
Jack Ryan 2.5% 2.0% 2.5% 2.0% 3.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 3.0% 5.0% 6.1% 6.2% 9.8% 16.8% 27.6%
Colin Brego 13.0% 11.6% 10.5% 10.0% 8.3% 8.0% 8.4% 7.7% 5.1% 4.5% 4.3% 3.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Louis Frumer 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 5.1% 6.5% 6.1% 8.9% 8.6% 10.5% 12.3% 13.3%
Quinn Andersen 9.1% 8.6% 7.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 7.8% 6.8% 5.2% 3.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 1.0%
Nicholas Marwell 12.2% 9.8% 10.7% 8.8% 8.1% 9.5% 6.7% 8.1% 6.8% 5.1% 3.9% 4.1% 3.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Andrew Puopolo 5.9% 4.9% 4.8% 5.4% 7.6% 5.7% 6.4% 5.9% 5.7% 6.0% 8.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.3% 5.6% 5.8%
Charles Honke 3.6% 4.5% 4.9% 6.6% 4.9% 4.6% 6.7% 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 9.0% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 6.2%
Matthew Schryver 4.6% 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.2% 5.7% 5.7% 6.3% 6.0% 8.1% 5.9% 6.1% 9.5% 9.2% 8.6% 5.0%
Cameron Loncoski 7.2% 6.2% 6.4% 6.2% 6.3% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 5.9% 7.1% 6.2% 3.4% 1.5%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 3.6% 6.1% 5.5% 8.7% 11.6% 16.3% 23.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.