Race 5A

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Neal 6.1% 7.9% 7.4% 6.0% 8.4% 6.7% 7.3% 6.7% 6.1% 7.7% 5.3% 6.6% 6.0% 6.4% 3.3% 2.1%
Quinn Andersen 9.5% 10.0% 9.6% 7.7% 8.5% 7.8% 7.7% 7.0% 6.8% 5.9% 5.4% 4.1% 4.5% 2.9% 2.4% 0.2%
Matthew Schryver 4.8% 3.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.9% 4.9% 7.1% 5.3% 6.5% 6.3% 7.4% 9.0% 8.3% 8.4% 7.0% 7.2%
Samuel Shea 5.7% 6.1% 6.8% 6.3% 5.8% 7.6% 5.5% 7.4% 8.7% 5.7% 6.6% 5.9% 7.6% 6.4% 5.2% 2.7%
Jack Ryan 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 3.3% 4.4% 4.6% 5.0% 5.7% 7.6% 9.8% 15.7% 26.6%
Colin Brego 10.3% 11.1% 11.0% 10.2% 9.1% 9.7% 7.6% 5.1% 5.6% 5.3% 5.1% 3.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Charles Honke 4.7% 4.1% 5.3% 5.6% 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 5.6% 4.8% 7.4% 6.6% 8.4% 9.0% 8.6% 7.8% 6.4%
Nicholas Marwell 11.3% 11.8% 10.4% 9.4% 9.2% 6.9% 8.2% 7.2% 7.0% 6.0% 3.9% 3.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Stephen Duncan 10.4% 10.0% 9.8% 8.9% 8.0% 9.7% 6.0% 9.5% 5.3% 6.3% 5.2% 3.1% 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 0.8%
Gregory Corsello 5.9% 5.5% 5.4% 7.2% 5.1% 6.5% 7.8% 7.5% 8.1% 8.3% 7.7% 7.4% 5.7% 5.3% 4.1% 2.5%
Andrew Puopolo 6.3% 5.7% 3.6% 6.4% 6.4% 4.5% 6.4% 7.6% 6.1% 5.4% 8.5% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.8%
Cameron Nash 6.9% 4.2% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 5.6% 6.7% 5.9% 5.6% 7.7% 7.5% 7.2% 6.4% 3.0%
Sean Beaulieu 4.8% 6.2% 6.0% 6.7% 5.9% 6.1% 6.4% 6.1% 7.3% 8.0% 8.1% 7.4% 5.9% 6.3% 5.1% 3.7%
Cameron Loncoski 7.3% 6.1% 7.3% 7.2% 7.9% 7.7% 7.0% 7.6% 6.7% 6.7% 7.1% 5.4% 6.2% 4.0% 4.1% 1.7%
Ryan Gershuny 2.3% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 10.0% 15.8% 25.6%
Louis Frumer 2.1% 3.3% 3.5% 2.9% 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 12.7% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.