Race 7A

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Stephen Duncan 10.5% 10.9% 10.4% 8.3% 8.9% 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 6.7% 4.2% 5.5% 4.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Colin Brego 12.4% 12.2% 10.2% 9.2% 8.1% 8.9% 6.3% 7.9% 6.3% 4.9% 4.3% 2.8% 3.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Jack Ryan 2.5% 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 3.8% 2.5% 3.9% 5.2% 5.6% 4.8% 8.3% 10.7% 15.4% 26.0%
Peter Neal 5.1% 7.9% 7.1% 7.0% 5.9% 5.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.7% 7.3% 6.2% 5.4% 5.5% 1.8%
Cameron Loncoski 6.4% 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 6.6% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 6.4% 7.1% 6.2% 5.4% 3.7% 1.9%
Andrew Puopolo 4.6% 3.7% 6.1% 5.4% 6.0% 8.1% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 7.6% 7.1% 4.3%
Louis Frumer 3.9% 2.7% 2.5% 4.3% 4.3% 2.5% 3.9% 5.0% 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 8.7% 8.3% 11.1% 12.2% 15.3%
Nicholas Marwell 12.7% 10.4% 11.1% 8.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.4% 7.8% 6.0% 4.1% 4.7% 3.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Samuel Shea 5.8% 7.6% 5.9% 6.9% 5.8% 7.4% 7.7% 7.0% 6.1% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 6.5% 4.6% 3.7% 3.5%
Quinn Andersen 8.9% 7.7% 8.8% 8.9% 8.7% 8.0% 7.4% 9.2% 7.3% 6.9% 4.8% 4.8% 3.4% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Ryan Gershuny 2.7% 2.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 2.3% 3.4% 3.6% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.9% 7.3% 9.2% 15.8% 25.2%
Gregory Corsello 6.1% 5.5% 7.1% 7.1% 7.6% 6.2% 5.9% 5.7% 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 6.6% 6.2% 7.2% 4.3% 3.0%
Sean Beaulieu 4.6% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 6.5% 8.2% 7.7% 7.2% 6.3% 6.1% 6.8% 5.1% 3.6%
Charles Honke 4.8% 4.4% 4.2% 5.2% 5.4% 6.0% 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.1% 6.8% 8.0% 6.5% 9.5% 8.6% 4.6%
Cameron Nash 5.7% 5.4% 4.7% 6.7% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 6.4% 7.5% 8.5% 7.3% 4.8% 2.7%
Matthew Schryver 3.3% 4.8% 3.8% 5.0% 4.3% 6.4% 5.8% 4.9% 6.3% 7.3% 10.2% 5.8% 9.1% 8.0% 8.5% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.