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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.70+5.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+5.98vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+5.50vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+4.06vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.58+5.85vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+2.90vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.90-0.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.31-0.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.93-4.12vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.19+1.00vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.98-2.67vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy2.39-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-5.71vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24-2.99vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.94-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.09Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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5.88Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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12.0Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.75Maine Maritime Academy2.390.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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12.01University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Shea | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Peter Neal | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Corsello | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Colin Brego | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Ryan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 28.5% |
| Charles Honke | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Cameron Loncoski | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 24.4% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.