Race 5A

sound-invitational-ss-6

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Helen Lord 15.7% 13.8% 16.1% 16.2% 14.1% 10.3% 7.1% 4.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 18.7% 19.9% 15.8% 13.7% 12.3% 8.4% 6.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 23.5% 22.6% 17.2% 12.5% 11.7% 7.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 3.6% 4.3% 5.3% 7.4% 10.8% 11.2% 15.0% 15.7% 16.0% 8.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Jacob Denney 10.5% 12.1% 13.2% 13.0% 12.3% 14.2% 12.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 7.6% 8.5% 10.1% 11.4% 12.6% 14.7% 13.0% 12.2% 5.8% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Douglas Young 3.6% 4.1% 3.8% 5.3% 6.9% 9.4% 11.5% 18.0% 17.2% 14.1% 5.4% 0.7%
William Simon 12.4% 10.8% 13.2% 12.2% 12.8% 12.9% 11.9% 8.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Nace Cohen 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 3.0% 2.8% 5.1% 10.1% 12.2% 21.7% 27.8% 11.1% 1.2%
Zachary Foreman 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 4.1% 2.8% 5.0% 6.8% 13.1% 21.2% 27.1% 11.6% 2.0%
Korey Charles 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 2.4% 3.8% 7.8% 36.2% 45.9%
Marco Catipovic 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 2.4% 3.8% 7.1% 32.9% 50.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.