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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+7.70vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+9.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.15+6.99vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+4.46vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.15vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97+3.84vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-1.57vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.42-5.95vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-5.03vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-1.18vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.81-4.03vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.81vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.99-6.42vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.02-8.39vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.10-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Stanford University3.3019.1%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University1.974.2%1st Place
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12.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.7%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy2.044.1%1st Place
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11.99Tufts University1.152.6%1st Place
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10.46Dartmouth College2.103.5%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.094.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Pennsylvania1.775.0%1st Place
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12.84Old Dominion University0.971.9%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University2.206.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University2.4214.3%1st Place
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6.97Cornell University2.389.2%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.994.5%1st Place
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8.61Tulane University2.025.5%1st Place
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10.91Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.1% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Young | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 18.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.