Race 10A

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Neal 6.3% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 6.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.0% 6.4% 7.6% 5.9% 5.3% 6.0% 5.0% 4.7% 2.0%
Colin Brego 12.2% 12.3% 9.9% 10.0% 8.7% 7.4% 7.5% 5.6% 7.2% 5.5% 4.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.5%
Louis Frumer 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.1% 3.8% 4.1% 5.4% 5.4% 5.9% 6.4% 5.9% 9.1% 11.3% 12.4% 14.1%
Samuel Shea 5.5% 7.0% 6.5% 5.5% 6.6% 7.7% 5.8% 8.3% 6.5% 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 5.8% 7.9% 4.2% 3.0%
Matthew Schryver 3.9% 3.4% 4.6% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 6.4% 7.0% 6.9% 7.4% 8.3% 10.1% 7.9% 6.5%
Quinn Andersen 8.8% 7.3% 11.7% 8.3% 7.9% 7.5% 8.4% 7.1% 6.1% 5.5% 5.8% 5.3% 4.3% 3.4% 2.2% 0.4%
Andrew Puopolo 5.1% 5.0% 6.2% 5.3% 5.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.8% 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 8.5% 6.7% 7.6% 4.1%
Gregory Corsello 6.3% 7.4% 6.2% 7.3% 7.1% 4.8% 6.5% 8.1% 8.1% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.6% 5.7% 4.1% 2.1%
Stephen Duncan 10.1% 10.4% 9.7% 9.6% 8.9% 8.2% 6.5% 6.7% 6.1% 7.2% 5.4% 3.5% 2.9% 2.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Sean Beaulieu 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 5.8% 4.8% 7.1% 6.9% 7.1% 7.4% 8.5% 8.0% 8.3% 6.4% 4.7% 5.7% 3.5%
Cameron Nash 6.0% 6.5% 5.2% 5.7% 6.8% 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 6.8% 8.1% 7.3% 7.2% 6.8% 5.8% 5.7% 3.2%
Cameron Loncoski 8.0% 5.0% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 7.1% 6.8% 6.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.1% 7.4% 5.6% 5.5% 3.7% 2.7%
Nicholas Marwell 10.8% 11.3% 9.5% 10.6% 9.4% 8.5% 8.4% 6.9% 7.5% 4.3% 3.7% 3.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Ryan Gershuny 2.3% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 3.2% 4.1% 3.9% 4.7% 6.5% 5.7% 9.1% 9.0% 14.7% 23.6%
Charles Honke 4.2% 3.6% 4.4% 4.0% 6.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.2% 6.1% 5.5% 8.9% 8.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.5% 5.5%
Jack Ryan 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.1% 7.5% 7.9% 10.7% 14.4% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.