← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+4.64vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.31+5.14vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University2.21+4.60vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.37+3.10vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.90+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.93-0.81vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.12+0.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.78+1.18vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.20-1.38vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.32-2.58vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.23-3.37vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.13-0.50vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.98-4.26vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.24-3.09vs Predicted
-
15Bates College1.19-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
7.14Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.6Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.1Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
-
5.45Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
5.19Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.89Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.18University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
-
7.62Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
7.42Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.63University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
-
11.5Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.74Boston University1.980.0%1st Place
-
10.91University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
11.0Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Duncan | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Gregory Corsello | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Peter Neal | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Shea | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Emmett Ulian | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 26.1% |
| Charles Honke | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 19.6% |
| Jack Ryan | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.