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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.19+10.16vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.31+5.35vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+5.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+5.48vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13+6.57vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37+0.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.20-0.34vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.93-3.73vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.98-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23-3.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32-4.56vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.90-7.66vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-2.89vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.06-0.80vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.16Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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7.35Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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11.57Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.66Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.69Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.11University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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14.2McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
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7.81Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Ryan | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 10.7% |
| Gregory Corsello | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 12.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Neal | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Colin Brego | 12.7% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Honke | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Shea | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 11.0% |
| Cameron Baird | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 55.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.