Race 14A

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Stephen Duncan 11.5% 12.5% 10.3% 10.0% 9.4% 8.5% 7.1% 7.3% 5.6% 5.3% 4.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Sean Beaulieu 6.2% 6.7% 6.8% 7.6% 8.9% 6.6% 8.0% 6.2% 8.3% 8.3% 7.4% 6.7% 5.4% 4.8% 2.1%
Andrew Puopolo 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 6.4% 7.0% 7.0% 6.3% 8.3% 7.2% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 7.4% 5.4% 2.4%
Nicholas Marwell 13.2% 12.9% 11.7% 9.8% 8.3% 8.2% 8.7% 6.6% 7.7% 2.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Gregory Corsello 7.3% 8.1% 6.5% 5.7% 7.7% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 9.5% 7.9% 7.5% 5.7% 5.8% 4.9% 1.9%
Peter Neal 8.1% 7.1% 6.2% 7.9% 8.4% 7.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.5% 8.1% 6.0% 5.3% 5.4% 3.5% 1.2%
Colin Brego 13.7% 11.3% 12.6% 9.9% 10.1% 10.3% 7.8% 6.0% 4.6% 4.5% 3.4% 2.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Nathan Housberg 6.3% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 6.7% 5.9% 9.0% 7.4% 6.4% 8.2% 7.4% 8.0% 6.6% 4.4% 2.8%
Samuel Shea 6.7% 5.8% 8.0% 8.2% 9.1% 8.7% 7.1% 7.4% 7.0% 8.7% 6.9% 6.8% 4.9% 3.4% 1.3%
Jack Ryan 2.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 3.4% 6.2% 5.9% 5.5% 8.7% 11.0% 16.5% 23.2%
Cameron Nash 5.9% 8.3% 6.2% 8.5% 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 7.6% 7.4% 6.2% 7.9% 5.9% 6.7% 5.6% 3.2%
Charles Honke 4.8% 3.3% 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 7.7% 8.4% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.1% 5.5%
Christopher Pearson 3.8% 3.7% 5.6% 4.0% 3.7% 6.1% 5.8% 6.3% 5.4% 6.7% 8.6% 10.8% 10.9% 9.2% 9.4%
Emmett Ulian 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.2% 3.3% 4.3% 6.0% 3.6% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 11.4% 16.2% 24.2%
Ryan Gershuny 2.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 2.4% 3.1% 4.5% 5.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 9.2% 10.3% 15.1% 21.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.