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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+3.60vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+3.52vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+2.55vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.82+4.77vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.73+0.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.60+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.39+3.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.80-2.70vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.66+3.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75-1.10vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-0.99vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.27+0.29vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.64-4.90vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.57-5.46vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.61-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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5.52Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.63Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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12.2Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.01Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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13.29University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.54Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.57Bates College0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Owen Schafer | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Roeber | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 18.7% | 35.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Peter Galloway | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.