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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
T. Max Bulger 18.1% 16.9% 15.9% 17.4% 12.9% 8.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 24.3% 22.1% 18.1% 12.6% 10.3% 7.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Helen Lord 17.5% 14.5% 15.7% 12.9% 13.3% 12.9% 7.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 8.5% 13.5% 11.7% 13.6% 13.3% 13.0% 12.1% 8.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 13.6% 11.6% 13.9% 12.4% 11.9% 7.1% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Jacob Denney 10.8% 12.4% 11.2% 12.9% 14.7% 13.3% 10.8% 8.9% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Nace Cohen 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 9.4% 10.9% 19.6% 28.4% 10.8% 3.4%
Zachary O'Brien 5.0% 5.6% 6.4% 5.7% 8.6% 11.8% 13.1% 18.7% 14.0% 8.8% 2.2% 0.1%
Douglas Young 3.0% 2.6% 4.7% 4.3% 7.5% 9.7% 14.2% 18.7% 18.7% 13.1% 3.4% 0.1%
Zachary Foreman 1.6% 1.8% 3.4% 3.1% 3.3% 4.1% 8.7% 10.8% 21.7% 26.8% 13.1% 1.6%
Marco Catipovic 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.7% 4.4% 8.1% 35.2% 46.9%
Korey Charles 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 2.1% 3.9% 8.1% 34.4% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.