Race 6B

george-warren-smith

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alp Rodopman 14.9% 14.7% 14.4% 11.8% 10.4% 8.0% 7.8% 5.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Petrovic 11.3% 13.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.6% 9.4% 8.3% 5.9% 8.0% 5.2% 3.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Thomas Harden 12.2% 10.8% 10.6% 11.7% 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 9.2% 5.1% 4.5% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Casey Cabot 10.1% 11.0% 11.5% 9.5% 10.1% 10.6% 8.2% 7.0% 6.2% 6.4% 4.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Drake Lyon 10.7% 10.2% 11.6% 10.6% 10.4% 8.7% 7.9% 8.8% 7.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Schafer 4.1% 2.8% 5.1% 6.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.8% 7.8% 7.9% 8.3% 8.2% 7.0% 7.8% 7.1% 5.1% 2.0%
Jennifer Killian 3.5% 3.8% 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 5.1% 4.2% 4.4% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 10.1% 12.0% 10.1% 9.3% 6.1%
John Mastrandrea 10.2% 10.1% 9.5% 10.1% 9.1% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 6.8% 5.3% 3.7% 3.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Graham Roeber 0.9% 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 6.8% 7.5% 10.2% 14.0% 16.4% 20.5%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.5% 4.4% 5.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.8% 7.4% 7.0% 7.7% 10.3% 10.4% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7%
Victoria Pajak 4.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 4.8% 4.9% 6.8% 7.6% 7.7% 9.7% 10.1% 8.8% 7.0% 7.4% 2.0%
Kelsey Slack 4.2% 4.9% 3.7% 5.3% 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 8.0% 8.3% 9.4% 9.9% 6.0% 4.2% 3.0%
Peter Galloway 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 2.7% 1.6% 3.1% 4.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.9% 6.7% 9.1% 15.0% 17.2% 21.8%
Martin Tipton 3.9% 2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 5.8% 6.7% 4.9% 6.6% 7.8% 9.5% 9.2% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 6.7% 3.0%
Garrett Connelly 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.8% 7.2% 8.9% 10.5% 10.2% 10.6% 10.8% 3.6%
River Iannaccone 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.2% 7.2% 12.2% 17.7% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.