← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.74+4.44vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.82+6.55vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.04+1.63vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.64+5.36vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.75+3.91vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.75-0.42vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.80-1.51vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.66+4.25vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.39+1.01vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.73-4.34vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.60-4.96vs Predicted
-
12Bates College0.61+0.45vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.38vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire0.27-0.78vs Predicted
-
15Yale University1.57-5.39vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.39-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.44Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.55Harvard University1.820.0%1st Place
-
4.63Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
-
9.36Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.91Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.58Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
12.25Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
-
5.66Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.04Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
12.45Bates College0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
-
13.22University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
-
9.61Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
-
10.18Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 11.5% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Schafer | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Alp Rodopman | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Roeber | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 20.3% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Galloway | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 23.4% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 19.6% | 33.7% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.