Race 13B

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Daniel Petrovic 12.7% 12.8% 12.4% 10.9% 10.0% 9.5% 6.2% 7.9% 5.8% 4.4% 3.2% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Julien Guiot 10.3% 11.1% 8.7% 9.7% 8.9% 9.0% 8.7% 7.2% 7.0% 5.9% 5.1% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Owen Schafer 5.7% 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 6.3% 6.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.5% 8.9% 8.7% 9.3% 6.5% 6.0% 3.6% 0.2%
John Mastrandrea 10.0% 11.5% 8.9% 10.5% 9.6% 9.2% 7.8% 8.4% 6.0% 5.6% 6.4% 2.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Carina Becker 3.7% 3.4% 4.5% 5.2% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 6.3% 7.7% 6.8% 9.2% 9.8% 11.4% 7.9% 6.2% 0.9%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.3% 3.3% 6.7% 7.1% 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 6.9% 7.7% 6.1% 9.0% 9.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 0.6%
Thomas Harden 13.3% 13.4% 10.5% 10.1% 10.7% 7.8% 7.3% 8.2% 6.7% 4.4% 3.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Drake Lyon 13.6% 12.8% 11.3% 11.4% 9.0% 10.0% 8.8% 7.7% 4.2% 4.1% 3.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Martin Tipton 3.5% 4.9% 5.0% 3.9% 5.2% 4.9% 6.9% 6.4% 8.5% 8.6% 7.6% 10.8% 9.4% 7.9% 4.8% 1.7%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.3% 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.9% 8.3% 10.6% 6.8% 10.2% 7.5% 5.1% 5.6% 3.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Thomas Bouchard 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 4.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.9% 12.1% 26.7% 30.4%
Rowan Byrne 4.6% 5.1% 5.9% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.9% 7.3% 7.8% 10.0% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8%
Victoria Pajak 3.6% 4.1% 5.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.2% 5.8% 6.1% 7.8% 9.7% 10.1% 7.7% 8.9% 7.5% 3.9% 1.8%
Peter Galloway 1.8% 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 5.4% 6.4% 7.5% 12.0% 16.9% 18.8% 11.7%
Noah Adams Tyshynski 0.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 10.9% 20.9% 48.8%
Caroline King 2.9% 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.6% 4.0% 5.4% 7.2% 5.6% 8.3% 8.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.8% 6.9% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.